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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Thu 12 Jun 2025

23:00

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

30%

Vitoria

3.36

30%

Draw

3.29

40%

Cruzeiro

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.29

1.25

Cruzeiro xG

30%
30%
40%
VitoriaDrawCruzeiro

3.36

30%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

29%

Vitoria

3.48

35%

Cruzeiro

2.84

Win to Nil

9%

Vitoria

11.67

14%

Cruzeiro

7.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
1 10.6 13.2 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 5.5 6.9 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.043
λ Away (xG) 1.246
Total xG 2.289
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 0.875
Vitoria attack strength 0.913
Vitoria defence strength 1.150
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.238
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49