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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

46%

Vitoria

2.19

28%

Draw

3.53

26%

Corinthians

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.21

0.91

Corinthians xG

46%
28%
26%
VitoriaDrawCorinthians

2.19

46%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

40%

Vitoria

2.48

27%

Corinthians

3.67

Win to Nil

18%

Vitoria

5.44

7%

Corinthians

14.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.0 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 13.0 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.4 3.8 1.2 0.3
3 4.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 2.210
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 0.987
Vitoria attack strength 0.879
Vitoria defence strength 0.991
Corinthians attack strength 0.930
Corinthians defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67