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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Thu 2 Oct 2025

23:00

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

35%

Vitoria

2.82

31%

Draw

3.27

34%

Ceara

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.03

1.00

Ceara xG

35%
31%
34%
VitoriaDrawCeara

2.82

35%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

37%

Vitoria

2.72

36%

Ceara

2.80

Win to Nil

13%

Vitoria

7.69

12%

Ceara

8.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 13.1 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.9 7.0 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.029
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.031
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.032
Vitoria attack strength 0.865
Vitoria defence strength 1.043
Ceara attack strength 0.931
Ceara defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 24