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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

56%

Vasco DA Gama

1.80

23%

Draw

4.34

21%

Sao Paulo

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.84

1.03

Sao Paulo xG

56%
23%
21%
Vasco DA GamaDrawSao Paulo

1.80

56%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

36%

Vasco DA Gama

2.80

16%

Sao Paulo

6.09

Win to Nil

20%

Vasco DA Gama

5.05

4%

Sao Paulo

28.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.6 10.9 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.8 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.806
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.837
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 0.949
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.239
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.242
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.874
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68