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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

46%

Vasco DA Gama

2.15

33%

Draw

3.07

21%

Fortaleza EC

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

1.86

0.69

Fortaleza EC xG

46%
33%
21%
Vasco DA GamaDrawFortaleza EC

2.15

46%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

50%

Vasco DA Gama

2.00

31%

Fortaleza EC

3.22

Win to Nil

23%

Vasco DA Gama

4.31

7%

Fortaleza EC

15.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.5 10.8 3.7 0.9 0.1
1 18.2 12.6 4.4 1.0 0.2
2 10.6 7.4 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.2
4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.170
λ Away (xG) 0.693
Total xG 1.863
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 0.839
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.949
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 0.977
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.845
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.869
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46