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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

25%

Vasco DA Gama

3.95

26%

Draw

3.80

48%

Cruzeiro

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.45

1.47

Cruzeiro xG

25%
26%
48%
Vasco DA GamaDrawCruzeiro

3.95

25%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

23%

Vasco DA Gama

4.34

37%

Cruzeiro

2.67

Win to Nil

6%

Vasco DA Gama

17.13

18%

Cruzeiro

5.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 12.7 9.3 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.5
2 4.2 6.1 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.983
λ Away (xG) 1.467
Total xG 2.450
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.076
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.103
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.232
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.106
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.653
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62