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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

44%

Sao Paulo

2.29

32%

Draw

3.15

24%

Vitoria

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

1.96

0.80

Vitoria xG

44%
32%
24%
Sao PauloDrawVitoria

2.29

44%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

45%

Sao Paulo

2.22

31%

Vitoria

3.20

Win to Nil

20%

Sao Paulo

5.07

8%

Vitoria

13.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 11.2 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.4 13.1 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.5 7.6 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 0.796
Total xG 1.960
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 0.952
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.061
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.063
Vitoria attack strength 0.786
Vitoria defence strength 0.856
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56