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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

48%

Sao Paulo

2.07

35%

Draw

2.83

16%

Santos

6.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.02

0.70

Santos xG

48%
35%
16%
Sao PauloDrawSantos

2.07

48%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

6.06

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

50%

Sao Paulo

2.01

27%

Santos

3.74

Win to Nil

24%

Sao Paulo

4.17

4%

Santos

22.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
1 17.5 12.3 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 8.1 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 5.1 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 0.699
Total xG 2.017
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 0.904
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.825
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.986
Santos attack strength 0.784
Santos defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4