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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

60%

Sao Paulo

1.67

22%

Draw

4.54

18%

RB Bragantino

5.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.83

0.94

RB Bragantino xG

60%
22%
18%
Sao PauloDrawRB Bragantino

1.67

60%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

5.49

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

39%

Sao Paulo

2.56

15%

RB Bragantino

6.65

Win to Nil

23%

Sao Paulo

4.28

3%

RB Bragantino

36.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 10.5 4.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.7 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.895
λ Away (xG) 0.939
Total xG 2.834
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 0.974
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.077
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.014
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.952
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70