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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

50%

Sao Paulo

2.00

30%

Draw

3.34

20%

Gremio

4.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.08

0.75

Gremio xG

50%
30%
20%
Sao PauloDrawGremio

2.00

50%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

4.97

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

47%

Sao Paulo

2.11

26%

Gremio

3.80

Win to Nil

24%

Sao Paulo

4.23

5%

Gremio

18.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 16.6 12.4 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.1 8.3 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 4.9 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.336
λ Away (xG) 0.748
Total xG 2.084
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 0.833
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.802
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.949
Gremio attack strength 0.946
Gremio defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46