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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sao Paulo Win
43%
2.35
35%
2.87
23%
4.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Sao Paulo xG
Total xG
2.06
0.84
Fortaleza EC xG
Sao PauloDrawFortaleza EC
2.35
43%
Home win
2.87
35%
Draw
4.42
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.34
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
43%
2.31
29%
3.41
Win to Nil
18%
5.43
7%
15.08
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.6 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.227
λ Away (xG)
0.838
Total xG
2.065
League avg home goals
1.411
League avg away goals
0.880
Sao Paulo attack strength
0.904
Sao Paulo defence strength
1.033
Fortaleza EC attack strength
0.923
Fortaleza EC defence strength
0.962
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44