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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

33%

Sao Paulo

3.00

32%

Draw

3.09

34%

Corinthians

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.03

1.02

Corinthians xG

33%
32%
34%
Sao PauloDrawCorinthians

3.00

33%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

36%

Sao Paulo

2.79

37%

Corinthians

2.74

Win to Nil

12%

Sao Paulo

8.35

13%

Corinthians

7.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.6 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.007
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 2.032
League avg home goals 1.256
League avg away goals 0.913
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.837
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.207
Corinthians attack strength 0.929
Corinthians defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52