Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

25%

Santos

3.93

28%

Draw

3.61

47%

Sao Paulo

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Santos xG

Total xG

2.27

1.35

Sao Paulo xG

25%
28%
47%
SantosDrawSao Paulo

3.93

25%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

26%

Santos

3.88

40%

Sao Paulo

2.51

Win to Nil

7%

Santos

15.25

19%

Sao Paulo

5.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 13.9 9.4 4.3 1.4 0.4
1 9.5 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.3 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.919
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 2.274
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.098
Santos attack strength 0.718
Santos defence strength 1.278
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.966
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 61