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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

28%

Santos

3.53

23%

Draw

4.42

49%

Fluminense

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Santos xG

Total xG

3.22

1.86

Fluminense xG

28%
23%
49%
SantosDrawFluminense

3.53

28%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

16%

Santos

6.41

26%

Fluminense

3.92

Win to Nil

4%

Santos

22.65

13%

Fluminense

7.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.4 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.7
1 5.4 10.1 9.4 5.8 2.7 1.0
2 3.7 6.9 6.4 4.0 1.8 0.7
3 1.7 3.1 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 1.858
Total xG 3.224
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.103
Santos attack strength 0.800
Santos defence strength 1.431
Fluminense attack strength 1.177
Fluminense defence strength 1.272
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 57