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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 17 Jul 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

25%

Santos

3.99

30%

Draw

3.34

45%

Flamengo

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Santos xG

Total xG

2.07

1.23

Flamengo xG

25%
30%
45%
SantosDrawFlamengo

3.99

25%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

29%

Santos

3.42

43%

Flamengo

2.32

Win to Nil

7%

Santos

13.65

19%

Flamengo

5.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 15.5 9.5 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 10.6 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 4.5 5.5 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.842
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 2.073
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 0.930
Santos attack strength 0.829
Santos defence strength 1.108
Flamengo attack strength 1.194
Flamengo defence strength 0.803
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50