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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

30%

Santos

3.36

31%

Draw

3.19

39%

Cruzeiro

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Santos xG

Total xG

1.93

1.05

Cruzeiro xG

30%
31%
39%
SantosDrawCruzeiro

3.36

30%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

35%

Santos

2.85

42%

Cruzeiro

2.41

Win to Nil

10%

Santos

9.57

16%

Cruzeiro

6.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 15.3 8.0 2.8 0.7 0.2
1 12.8 13.4 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 5.6 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.878
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 1.926
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.028
Santos attack strength 0.810
Santos defence strength 0.984
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.036
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.724
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 75