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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RB Bragantino and Ceara share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Regular Season - 1, as RB Bragantino and Ceara drew 2-2 in the Serie A. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RB Bragantino 1.60 xG and Ceara 0.81 xG, a combined 2.41. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Ceara outscored their 0.81 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RB Bragantino attack 1.05 / defence 1.01 against Ceara attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 38/0 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it RB Bragantino 53% | Draw 31% | Ceara 16%, with RB Bragantino to win its most likely call at 53%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 22% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights