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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 19 Nov 2025

22:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

82%

Palmeiras

1.21

12%

Draw

8.65

6%

Vitoria

16.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

11.0%

Home win

4 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.94

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

3.65

0.71

Vitoria xG

82%
12%
PalmeirasDrawVitoria

1.21

82%

Home win

8.65

12%

Draw

16.47

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

49%

Palmeiras

2.03

5%

Vitoria

18.97

Win to Nil

41%

Palmeiras

2.46

0%

Vitoria

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.6 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 11.3 8.0 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 11.0 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 8.1 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.943
λ Away (xG) 0.707
Total xG 3.650
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.001
Palmeiras attack strength 1.484
Palmeiras defence strength 0.774
Vitoria attack strength 0.912
Vitoria defence strength 1.411
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71