🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Palmeiras Win
78%
1.29
14%
7.25
9%
11.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
9.8%
Home win
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.75
Palmeiras xG
Total xG
3.57
0.82
Santos xG
PalmeirasDrawSantos
1.29
78%
Home win
7.25
14%
Draw
11.71
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
44%
2.27
6%
15.60
Win to Nil
34%
2.92
1%
182.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.7 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.747
λ Away (xG)
0.819
Total xG
3.566
League avg home goals
1.411
League avg away goals
0.940
Palmeiras attack strength
1.538
Palmeiras defence strength
0.866
Santos attack strength
1.006
Santos defence strength
1.265
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 30