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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 15 Oct 2025

23:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

71%

Palmeiras

1.40

17%

Draw

5.87

12%

RB Bragantino

8.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

3.22

0.84

RB Bragantino xG

71%
17%
12%
PalmeirasDrawRB Bragantino

1.40

71%

Home win

5.87

17%

Draw

8.69

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

43%

Palmeiras

2.32

9%

RB Bragantino

10.76

Win to Nil

31%

Palmeiras

3.25

1%

RB Bragantino

93.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.5 8.0 3.4 0.9 0.2
2 11.3 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.9 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.3 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.376
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 3.219
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.022
Palmeiras attack strength 1.488
Palmeiras defence strength 0.860
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.958
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65