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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

23:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

79%

Palmeiras

1.26

14%

Draw

7.18

7%

Juventude

14.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.56

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

3.17

0.62

Juventude xG

79%
14%
PalmeirasDrawJuventude

1.26

79%

Home win

7.18

14%

Draw

14.62

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

54%

Palmeiras

1.86

8%

Juventude

12.87

Win to Nil

43%

Palmeiras

2.34

1%

Juventude

188.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.7 6.6 2.0 0.4 0.1
2 13.7 8.4 2.6 0.5 0.1
3 11.6 7.2 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 7.4 4.6 1.4 0.3
5 3.8 2.3 0.7 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.555
λ Away (xG) 0.618
Total xG 3.173
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.019
Palmeiras attack strength 1.415
Palmeiras defence strength 0.829
Juventude attack strength 0.732
Juventude defence strength 1.280
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 64