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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

22:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

54%

Palmeiras

1.85

24%

Draw

4.20

22%

Internacional

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.74

1.02

Internacional xG

54%
24%
22%
PalmeirasDrawInternacional

1.85

54%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

36%

Palmeiras

2.76

18%

Internacional

5.60

Win to Nil

19%

Palmeiras

5.13

4%

Internacional

25.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.3 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.2
4 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.722
λ Away (xG) 1.017
Total xG 2.739
League avg home goals 1.360
League avg away goals 1.082
Palmeiras attack strength 1.138
Palmeiras defence strength 0.877
Internacional attack strength 1.072
Internacional defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 59