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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

01:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

52%

Palmeiras

1.91

24%

Draw

4.08

23%

Gremio

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.73

1.04

Gremio xG

52%
24%
23%
PalmeirasDrawGremio

1.91

52%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

Palmeiras

2.83

19%

Gremio

5.40

Win to Nil

18%

Palmeiras

5.42

4%

Gremio

23.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.686
λ Away (xG) 1.042
Total xG 2.728
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.939
Palmeiras attack strength 1.051
Palmeiras defence strength 1.055
Gremio attack strength 1.052
Gremio defence strength 1.266
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52