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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

01:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

69%

Palmeiras

1.46

19%

Draw

5.34

13%

Fortaleza EC

7.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

3.00

0.82

Fortaleza EC xG

69%
19%
13%
PalmeirasDrawFortaleza EC

1.46

69%

Home win

5.34

19%

Draw

7.86

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

44%

Palmeiras

2.26

11%

Fortaleza EC

8.84

Win to Nil

30%

Palmeiras

3.30

1%

Fortaleza EC

69.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 8.9 3.6 1.0 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.6 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.7 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.179
λ Away (xG) 0.817
Total xG 2.996
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.102
Palmeiras attack strength 1.290
Palmeiras defence strength 0.867
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.856
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 60