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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

70%

Palmeiras

1.42

19%

Draw

5.15

10%

Fluminense

9.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.7%

Home win

3 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.61

0.61

Fluminense xG

70%
19%
PalmeirasDrawFluminense

1.42

70%

Home win

5.15

19%

Draw

9.73

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

54%

Palmeiras

1.84

13%

Fluminense

7.41

Win to Nil

38%

Palmeiras

2.62

1%

Fluminense

72.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 4.5 1.4 0.3
1 14.7 9.0 2.7 0.6 0.1
2 14.7 9.0 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 9.8 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 3.0 0.9 0.2
5 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.003
λ Away (xG) 0.611
Total xG 2.614
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.030
Palmeiras attack strength 1.306
Palmeiras defence strength 0.708
Fluminense attack strength 0.838
Fluminense defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72