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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

23:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

52%

Palmeiras

1.91

26%

Draw

3.88

22%

Cruzeiro

4.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.42

0.89

Cruzeiro xG

52%
26%
22%
PalmeirasDrawCruzeiro

1.91

52%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.59

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

41%

Palmeiras

2.43

22%

Cruzeiro

4.64

Win to Nil

22%

Palmeiras

4.63

5%

Cruzeiro

21.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.535
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 2.422
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 0.982
Palmeiras attack strength 1.619
Palmeiras defence strength 0.907
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.996
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.662
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67