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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

40%

Palmeiras

2.52

36%

Draw

2.81

25%

Corinthians

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.17

0.94

Corinthians xG

40%
36%
25%
PalmeirasDrawCorinthians

2.52

40%

Home win

2.81

36%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

39%

Palmeiras

2.55

29%

Corinthians

3.43

Win to Nil

16%

Palmeiras

6.44

7%

Corinthians

13.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 10.7 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.2 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.233
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.171
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 0.908
Palmeiras attack strength 0.939
Palmeiras defence strength 0.930
Corinthians attack strength 1.111
Corinthians defence strength 0.941
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40