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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

38%

Palmeiras

2.61

32%

Draw

3.15

30%

Botafogo

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.31

1.07

Botafogo xG

38%
32%
30%
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo

2.61

38%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

34%

Palmeiras

2.91

29%

Botafogo

3.45

Win to Nil

13%

Palmeiras

7.60

9%

Botafogo

11.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 10.7 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 13.2 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.6 8.2 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.237
λ Away (xG) 1.068
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 0.970
Palmeiras attack strength 1.069
Palmeiras defence strength 1.019
Botafogo attack strength 1.081
Botafogo defence strength 0.844
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38