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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

57%

Palmeiras

1.75

29%

Draw

3.44

14%

Bahia

7.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.53

0.79

Bahia xG

57%
29%
14%
PalmeirasDrawBahia

1.75

57%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

7.31

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

45%

Palmeiras

2.20

17%

Bahia

5.73

Win to Nil

26%

Palmeiras

3.84

2%

Bahia

41.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 6.3 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.9 10.9 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.0 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.1 2.4 1.0 0.3
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.745
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.533
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 0.871
Palmeiras attack strength 0.968
Palmeiras defence strength 0.858
Bahia attack strength 1.054
Bahia defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43