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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Thu 24 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

44%

Juventude

2.27

28%

Draw

3.58

28%

Sao Paulo

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.29

0.98

Sao Paulo xG

44%
28%
28%
JuventudeDrawSao Paulo

2.27

44%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

37%

Juventude

2.67

27%

Sao Paulo

3.71

Win to Nil

17%

Juventude

6.06

8%

Sao Paulo

13.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 13.0 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.311
λ Away (xG) 0.983
Total xG 2.294
League avg home goals 1.259
League avg away goals 0.924
Juventude attack strength 0.963
Juventude defence strength 1.057
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.007
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 53