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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 6 May 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

55%

Juventude

1.81

25%

Draw

3.96

19%

Atletico-MG

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.76

0.98

Atletico-MG xG

55%
25%
19%
JuventudeDrawAtletico-MG

1.81

55%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

38%

Juventude

2.66

17%

Atletico-MG

5.97

Win to Nil

21%

Juventude

4.80

3%

Atletico-MG

30.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 11.0 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.0 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.787
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 0.844
Juventude attack strength 1.107
Juventude defence strength 1.168
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.990
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44