Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Internacional Win

51%

Internacional

1.95

27%

Draw

3.76

22%

Vasco DA Gama

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Internacional xG

Total xG

2.32

0.86

Vasco DA Gama xG

51%
27%
22%
InternacionalDrawVasco DA Gama

1.95

51%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

42%

Internacional

2.36

23%

Vasco DA Gama

4.32

Win to Nil

22%

Internacional

4.61

5%

Vasco DA Gama

19.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 8.4 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.3 12.3 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.0 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.464
λ Away (xG) 0.860
Total xG 2.324
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 0.942
Internacional attack strength 0.988
Internacional defence strength 0.858
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.065
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.167
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 52