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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Internacional Win

50%

Internacional

2.01

31%

Draw

3.21

19%

Palmeiras

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Internacional xG

Total xG

2.56

0.95

Palmeiras xG

50%
31%
19%
InternacionalDrawPalmeiras

2.01

50%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

39%

Internacional

2.58

20%

Palmeiras

5.02

Win to Nil

19%

Internacional

5.18

4%

Palmeiras

26.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.5 11.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.613
λ Away (xG) 0.948
Total xG 2.561
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 0.931
Internacional attack strength 1.227
Internacional defence strength 0.850
Palmeiras attack strength 1.197
Palmeiras defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41