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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gremio Win
51%
1.94
30%
3.39
19%
5.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.56
Gremio xG
Total xG
2.44
0.87
Santos xG
GremioDrawSantos
1.94
51%
Home win
3.39
30%
Draw
5.26
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
42%
2.40
21%
4.77
Win to Nil
21%
4.66
4%
25.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.7 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.562
λ Away (xG)
0.874
Total xG
2.436
League avg home goals
1.426
League avg away goals
0.867
Gremio attack strength
0.921
Gremio defence strength
1.208
Santos attack strength
0.835
Santos defence strength
1.190
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 6