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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

38%

Gremio

2.62

30%

Draw

3.33

32%

RB Bragantino

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.25

1.06

RB Bragantino xG

38%
30%
32%
GremioDrawRB Bragantino

2.62

38%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

35%

Gremio

2.89

31%

RB Bragantino

3.28

Win to Nil

13%

Gremio

7.56

10%

RB Bragantino

10.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 11.2 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.3 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.4 7.9 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.187
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.247
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 0.836
Gremio attack strength 0.882
Gremio defence strength 1.124
RB Bragantino attack strength 1.128
RB Bragantino defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45