Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

01:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Gremio

3.32

36%

Draw

2.80

34%

Internacional

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.18

1.13

Internacional xG

30%
36%
34%
GremioDrawInternacional

3.32

30%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

32%

Gremio

3.10

35%

Internacional

2.86

Win to Nil

10%

Gremio

10.27

12%

Internacional

8.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.2 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.051
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.181
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 0.889
Gremio attack strength 0.950
Gremio defence strength 1.253
Internacional attack strength 1.015
Internacional defence strength 0.763
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42