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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

52%

Fortaleza EC

1.92

26%

Draw

3.92

23%

Vitoria

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.54

0.95

Vitoria xG

52%
26%
23%
Fortaleza ECDrawVitoria

1.92

52%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

39%

Fortaleza EC

2.59

20%

Vitoria

4.88

Win to Nil

20%

Fortaleza EC

4.99

5%

Vitoria

21.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.5 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 11.9 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.586
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.539
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.089
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.904
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.276
Vitoria attack strength 0.686
Vitoria defence strength 1.285
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 60