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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Thu 12 Jun 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

56%

Fortaleza EC

1.78

29%

Draw

3.43

15%

Santos

6.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.4%

Home win

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.03

0.60

Santos xG

56%
29%
15%
Fortaleza ECDrawSantos

1.78

56%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

6.79

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

55%

Fortaleza EC

1.83

24%

Santos

4.17

Win to Nil

31%

Fortaleza EC

3.26

4%

Santos

28.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 7.9 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 18.7 11.3 3.4 0.7 0.1
2 13.4 8.1 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 3.8 1.2 0.2
4 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.428
λ Away (xG) 0.605
Total xG 2.033
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 0.885
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.113
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.945
Santos attack strength 0.724
Santos defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 11