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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

41%

Fortaleza EC

2.44

37%

Draw

2.68

22%

Palmeiras

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

1.90

0.77

Palmeiras xG

41%
37%
22%
Fortaleza ECDrawPalmeiras

2.44

41%

Home win

2.68

37%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

46%

Fortaleza EC

2.16

32%

Palmeiras

3.10

Win to Nil

19%

Fortaleza EC

5.26

7%

Palmeiras

14.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 11.5 4.4 1.1 0.2
1 16.9 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.2
2 9.6 7.4 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 0.768
Total xG 1.899
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 0.898
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.008
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.707
Palmeiras attack strength 1.210
Palmeiras defence strength 0.768
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42