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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

21:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortaleza EC Win

50%

Fortaleza EC

2.00

28%

Draw

3.62

22%

Fluminense

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Fortaleza EC xG

Total xG

2.25

0.85

Fluminense xG

50%
28%
22%
Fortaleza ECDrawFluminense

2.00

50%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

43%

Fortaleza EC

2.33

24%

Fluminense

4.09

Win to Nil

21%

Fortaleza EC

4.66

5%

Fluminense

18.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 8.9 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.8 12.5 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 8.8 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.9 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 0.846
Total xG 2.255
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.055
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.073
Fortaleza EC defence strength 0.848
Fluminense attack strength 0.945
Fluminense defence strength 0.925
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38