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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

49%

Fluminense

2.04

32%

Draw

3.12

19%

Vitoria

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.37

0.87

Vitoria xG

49%
32%
19%
FluminenseDrawVitoria

2.04

49%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

42%

Fluminense

2.39

22%

Vitoria

4.47

Win to Nil

20%

Fluminense

4.89

4%

Vitoria

23.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 8.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.0 12.2 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.1 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.2 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.497
λ Away (xG) 0.873
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 0.898
Fluminense attack strength 0.937
Fluminense defence strength 0.892
Vitoria attack strength 1.090
Vitoria defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42