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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

56%

Fluminense

1.78

28%

Draw

3.54

15%

Vasco DA Gama

6.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.33

0.73

Vasco DA Gama xG

56%
28%
15%
FluminenseDrawVasco DA Gama

1.78

56%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

6.49

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

48%

Fluminense

2.08

20%

Vasco DA Gama

4.92

Win to Nil

27%

Fluminense

3.70

3%

Vasco DA Gama

31.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 15.6 11.4 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.1 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 6.6 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.594
λ Away (xG) 0.733
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 0.829
Fluminense attack strength 0.973
Fluminense defence strength 0.995
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.889
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.171
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47