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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

54%

Fluminense

1.84

31%

Draw

3.19

14%

Santos

6.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.42

0.78

Santos xG

54%
31%
14%
FluminenseDrawSantos

1.84

54%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

6.99

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

46%

Fluminense

2.18

19%

Santos

5.13

Win to Nil

25%

Fluminense

4.02

3%

Santos

35.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 7.0 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.6 11.4 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.3 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 6.5 5.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.636
λ Away (xG) 0.781
Total xG 2.417
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 0.917
Fluminense attack strength 1.009
Fluminense defence strength 0.976
Santos attack strength 0.873
Santos defence strength 1.160
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 2