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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

68%

Fluminense

1.47

20%

Draw

4.93

12%

Juventude

8.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.64

0.67

Juventude xG

68%
20%
12%
FluminenseDrawJuventude

1.47

68%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

8.50

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

51%

Fluminense

1.96

14%

Juventude

7.16

Win to Nil

35%

Fluminense

2.89

2%

Juventude

60.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 9.4 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 13.8 9.3 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 9.1 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 4.5 3.0 1.0 0.2
5 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.969
λ Away (xG) 0.674
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.029
Fluminense attack strength 1.026
Fluminense defence strength 0.858
Juventude attack strength 0.764
Juventude defence strength 1.325
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65