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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

50%

Fluminense

2.00

27%

Draw

3.67

23%

Fortaleza EC

4.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.33

0.88

Fortaleza EC xG

50%
27%
23%
FluminenseDrawFortaleza EC

2.00

50%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.40

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

41%

Fluminense

2.42

24%

Fortaleza EC

4.25

Win to Nil

21%

Fluminense

4.83

5%

Fortaleza EC

18.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.1 12.4 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 0.883
Total xG 2.330
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 1.034
Fluminense attack strength 0.916
Fluminense defence strength 1.016
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.841
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.234
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56