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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 17 Jul 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

40%

Fluminense

2.53

30%

Draw

3.31

30%

Cruzeiro

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.07

0.94

Cruzeiro xG

40%
30%
30%
FluminenseDrawCruzeiro

2.53

40%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

39%

Fluminense

2.57

32%

Cruzeiro

3.08

Win to Nil

15%

Fluminense

6.51

10%

Cruzeiro

10.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 11.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.2 13.4 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.0 7.5 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 2.070
League avg home goals 1.258
League avg away goals 0.916
Fluminense attack strength 1.065
Fluminense defence strength 0.981
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.052
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.839
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 51