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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

43%

Fluminense

2.32

27%

Draw

3.69

30%

Corinthians

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.44

1.08

Corinthians xG

43%
27%
30%
FluminenseDrawCorinthians

2.32

43%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

34%

Fluminense

2.95

26%

Corinthians

3.88

Win to Nil

15%

Fluminense

6.84

8%

Corinthians

13.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 9.4 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.8 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.0 8.7 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 2.438
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.081
Fluminense attack strength 0.939
Fluminense defence strength 0.994
Corinthians attack strength 1.006
Corinthians defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 60