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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Fluminense Win
47%
2.11
30%
3.29
22%
4.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.6%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.7%
Draw
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Fluminense xG
Total xG
1.92
0.72
Atletico-MG xG
FluminenseDrawAtletico-MG
2.11
47%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
4.51
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.80
64%
BTTS No
1.56
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
30%
3.31
Win to Nil
23%
4.32
7%
14.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.7 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.6 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.6 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.197
λ Away (xG)
0.718
Total xG
1.915
League avg home goals
1.348
League avg away goals
1.026
Fluminense attack strength
0.943
Fluminense defence strength
0.911
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.768
Atletico-MG defence strength
0.942
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62