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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 12 Jul 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

64%

Flamengo

1.55

23%

Draw

4.27

12%

Sao Paulo

8.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.55

0.69

Sao Paulo xG

64%
23%
12%
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo

1.55

64%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

8.22

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

50%

Flamengo

1.99

16%

Sao Paulo

6.42

Win to Nil

32%

Flamengo

3.09

2%

Sao Paulo

52.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 5.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 10.0 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 9.3 3.2 0.7 0.1
3 8.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.860
λ Away (xG) 0.688
Total xG 2.548
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 0.923
Flamengo attack strength 1.471
Flamengo defence strength 0.757
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.985
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50