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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Thu 4 Dec 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

67%

Flamengo

1.48

22%

Draw

4.62

11%

Ceara

9.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

15.2%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Flamengo xG

Total xG

2.37

0.57

Ceara xG

67%
22%
FlamengoDrawCeara

1.48

67%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

9.08

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.77

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

57%

Flamengo

1.76

16%

Ceara

6.07

Win to Nil

38%

Flamengo

2.62

2%

Ceara

55.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 5.3 1.5 0.3
1 16.9 9.6 2.7 0.5 0.1
2 15.2 8.6 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 9.1 5.2 1.5 0.3
4 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.1
5 1.5 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 0.567
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.004
Flamengo attack strength 1.379
Flamengo defence strength 0.799
Ceara attack strength 0.707
Ceara defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36